Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Mitchell wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.0% vs Bozak 56.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 91.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.3%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Mitchell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Mitchell
Bozak
Last 10: Mitchell 9-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Mitchell
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
8
0
Mitchell
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (595)
56.5% (1,119)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.4% (226)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (151)
50.0% (20)
+7.0%
On power play, Mitchell has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Mitchell is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Mitchell shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bozak
Home
57.9% (375)
60.1% (682)
Away
51.2% (377)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Mitchell
Bozak
P1
57.9%
57.7%
P2
47.5%
53.7%
P3
58.8%
59.0%
OT
42.9%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |