Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Lewis wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 42.9% vs Bozak 55.8% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lewis 69.8%
Neutral zone
Lewis 75.7%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Lewis
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lewis
Bozak
Last 5: Lewis 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Lewis
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lewis
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Lewis
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (198)
56.4% (837)
-15.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
60.8% (186)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
33.3% (36)
-6.6%
On even strength, Bozak has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lewis is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Lewis shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Lewis
Bozak
Home
41.0% (134)
58.7% (516)
Away
39.0% (123)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Lewis
Bozak
P1
40.0%
55.7%
P2
38.2%
53.4%
P3
42.1%
59.7%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
35.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |