Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 46.9% vs Bozak 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.5%
Defensive zone
Zegras 67.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 77.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Zegras
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zegras
Bozak
Last 5: Zegras 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Zegras
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (86)
58.3% (271)
-14.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.6% (33)
-20.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zegras is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Zegras shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Zegras
Bozak
Home
44.8% (29)
60.7% (206)
Away
43.3% (67)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Zegras
Bozak
P1
41.4%
57.3%
P2
47.1%
57.8%
P3
42.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
43.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |