Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 30 meetings). Bozak wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.4% vs Johnson 49.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 57-29 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 80.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 84.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 81.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Bozak
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
29
(86 meetings)
57
29
Bozak
Johnson
Last 10: Bozak 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
24
6
Bozak
Johnson
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
18
9
Bozak
Johnson
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
15
14
Bozak
Johnson
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (9,596)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.2% (1,990)
54.6% (885)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (1,094)
42.3% (707)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Bozak
Johnson
Home
56.0% (6,333)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.0% (6,396)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Bozak
Johnson
P1
53.2%
50.1%
P2
52.8%
50.6%
P3
54.5%
48.4%
OT
52.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |