Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Bozak wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 52.4% vs Johnson 55.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 57.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Bozak
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bozak
Johnson
Last 6: Bozak 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Bozak
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
0
Bozak
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
0
Bozak
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
55.9% (93)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.9% (171)
66.7% (18)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (195)
80.0% (10)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Bozak
Johnson
Home
52.1% (530)
67.2% (61)
Away
53.1% (533)
51.7% (60)
By Period
Bozak
Johnson
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
50.6%
70.5%
P3
53.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
69.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
59.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |