Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Bozak wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.0% vs Johnson 48.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 16-3 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 75.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 80.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 75.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Bozak
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
3
(19 meetings)
16
3
Bozak
Johnson
Last 10: Bozak 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
1
Bozak
Johnson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
1
Bozak
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
1
Bozak
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,244)
49.5% (828)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.1% (356)
54.9% (142)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (175)
36.8% (133)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Bozak
Johnson
Home
57.7% (892)
50.7% (564)
Away
48.6% (883)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Bozak
Johnson
P1
54.0%
51.2%
P2
54.4%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
56.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |