Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bozak wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.3% vs Gourde 44.8% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 82.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 79.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Bozak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bozak
Gourde
Last 7: Bozak 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
0
Bozak
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bozak
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (977)
40.9% (279)
+12.7%
Power Play
52.2% (186)
58.3% (60)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (6)
36.0% (25)
+64.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Bozak shoots right. Gourde is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Bozak
Gourde
Home
55.4% (583)
45.5% (189)
Away
51.9% (586)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Bozak
Gourde
P1
51.9%
42.4%
P2
51.1%
48.3%
P3
57.9%
40.3%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |