Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.4% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 62-50 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 55.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Bozak
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
62
(112 meetings)
50
62
Bozak
Smith
Last 10: Bozak 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
26
18
Bozak
Smith
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
9
29
Bozak
Smith
38 total
Neutral Zone
Even
15
15
Bozak
Smith
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (9,596)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.2% (1,990)
51.2% (342)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (1,094)
45.3% (985)
+2.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Bozak
Smith
Home
56.0% (6,333)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.0% (6,396)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Bozak
Smith
P1
53.2%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |