Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 54.3% vs Smith 53.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Bozak
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Bozak
Smith
Last 10: Bozak 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
1
Bozak
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
6
Bozak
Smith
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (962)
58.1% (322)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.9% (266)
36.8% (19)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (188)
32.6% (46)
+19.5%
On power play, Bozak has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Bozak
Smith
Home
58.6% (732)
58.8% (204)
Away
50.5% (709)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Bozak
Smith
P1
54.1%
52.9%
P2
55.0%
56.3%
P3
54.1%
51.9%
OT
65.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |