Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 52.5% vs Smith 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 83.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Bozak
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Bozak
Smith
Last 10: Bozak 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
1
Bozak
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
9
Bozak
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
1
Bozak
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (913)
48.0% (761)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.9% (211)
70.4% (27)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (51)
49.5% (196)
+5.4%
On power play, Smith has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Bozak
Smith
Home
52.8% (615)
49.9% (523)
Away
52.5% (583)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Bozak
Smith
P1
52.5%
47.5%
P2
51.1%
50.4%
P3
55.2%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |