Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Ennis 43.6% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 61.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 80.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kelly
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Ennis
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Ennis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
39.8% (329)
+18.9%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
55.6% (45)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
66.7% (3)
-17.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Ennis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Kelly
Ennis
Home
60.0% (200)
44.5% (191)
Away
55.5% (173)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Kelly
Ennis
P1
55.9%
42.7%
P2
58.4%
37.7%
P3
60.9%
45.0%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |