Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Ennis 43.6% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Smithson 92.3%
Neutral zone
Smithson 88.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Smithson
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Smithson
Ennis
Last 5: Smithson 5-0 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Ennis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Ennis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Ennis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
39.8% (329)
+15.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
55.6% (45)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
66.7% (3)
-13.2%
On power play, Smithson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Ennis is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Smithson
Ennis
Home
55.4% (249)
44.5% (191)
Away
55.5% (229)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Smithson
Ennis
P1
55.8%
42.7%
P2
52.6%
37.7%
P3
56.6%
45.0%
OT
83.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |