Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 48.9% vs Ennis 46.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 51.3%
Defensive zone
Connolly 73.3%
Neutral zone
Connolly 50.0%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Connolly
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Connolly
Ennis
Last 7: Connolly 5-2 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
3
0
Connolly
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Connolly
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (605)
45.6% (285)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.2% (86)
50.0% (24)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (89)
60.0% (5)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Connolly shoots right. Ennis is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Connolly
Ennis
Home
51.1% (358)
53.1% (175)
Away
46.7% (428)
36.9% (141)
By Period
Connolly
Ennis
P1
48.7%
40.0%
P2
48.1%
50.5%
P3
50.4%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |