Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaudet shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Gaudet 47.4% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 94.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 90.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 89.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Mitchell
Gaudet
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Mitchell
Gaudet
Last 6: Mitchell 6-0 Gaudet
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Gaudet
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Gaudet
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Gaudet
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gaudet
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
42.9% (28)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
28.6% (7)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudet shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Gaudet is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gaudet
Home
61.9% (265)
66.7% (15)
Away
49.1% (273)
20.0% (20)
By Period
Mitchell
Gaudet
P1
54.9%
21.4%
P2
56.8%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Gaudet
40.0%▼
45.8%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |