Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudet on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudet wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudet 47.4% vs Karlsson 45.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudet 54.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Gaudet
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Gaudet
Karlsson
Last 9: Gaudet 6-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Gaudet
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudet
3
0
Gaudet
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudet
2
0
Gaudet
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudet
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (28)
47.2% (786)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
35.6% (163)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudet is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Gaudet shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Gaudet
Karlsson
Home
66.7% (15)
46.4% (478)
Away
20.0% (20)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Gaudet
Karlsson
P1
21.4%
44.8%
P2
50.0%
45.6%
P3
53.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudet
40.0%▼
45.8%
40.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyler Gaudet |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Tyler Gaudet |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tyler Gaudet |