Scouting Report
Tyler Graovac holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coleman wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Graovac 48.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 88.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 55.9%
Neutral zone
Graovac 68.8%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Coleman
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coleman
Graovac
Last 7: Coleman 5-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
1
Coleman
Graovac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
47.5% (341)
-3.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Graovac has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Coleman is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Coleman shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Coleman
Graovac
Home
42.6% (108)
48.6% (181)
Away
42.4% (118)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Coleman
Graovac
P1
44.6%
42.4%
P2
42.7%
46.8%
P3
40.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |