Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.3% vs Graovac 47.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 76.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Thompson
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Thompson
Graovac
Last 10: Thompson 6-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Thompson
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Graovac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
2
Thompson
Graovac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
45.1% (91)
+4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Graovac has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Thompson shoots left. Graovac is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Thompson
Graovac
Home
52.2% (134)
46.2% (39)
Away
48.7% (150)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Thompson
Graovac
P1
54.5%
39.3%
P2
48.0%
51.4%
P3
48.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |