Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Johnson 48.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 94.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 78.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Gordon
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Gordon
Johnson
Last 9: Gordon 2-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Gordon
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Gordon
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
49.5% (828)
+8.7%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
54.9% (142)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
36.8% (133)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Gordon is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Gordon shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Gordon
Johnson
Home
58.4% (586)
50.7% (564)
Away
53.6% (632)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Gordon
Johnson
P1
55.8%
51.2%
P2
58.1%
47.5%
P3
53.3%
48.4%
OT
68.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |