Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Johnson 50.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 91.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 66.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Sutter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Johnson
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
51.8% (548)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
51.7% (58)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
40.7% (113)
+6.6%
On power play, Sutter has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Sutter shoots right. Johnson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johnson
Home
51.2% (529)
53.6% (371)
Away
52.2% (573)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Sutter
Johnson
P1
50.9%
50.9%
P2
52.8%
50.2%
P3
52.1%
48.9%
OT
30.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |