Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Johnson 48.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
David Backes favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Backes
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Johnson
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
48.5% (776)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
56.7% (157)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
26.4% (53)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. Johnson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Backes
Johnson
Home
53.1% (573)
48.8% (482)
Away
51.1% (619)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Backes
Johnson
P1
51.8%
50.3%
P2
52.3%
48.5%
P3
52.6%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | David Backes |