Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Johnson 50.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 51.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Backes
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backes
Johnson
Last 6: Backes 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Backes
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
51.8% (548)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
51.7% (58)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
40.7% (113)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backes is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Backes shoots right. Johnson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Backes
Johnson
Home
53.8% (160)
53.6% (371)
Away
47.6% (82)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Backes
Johnson
P1
53.8%
50.9%
P2
58.0%
50.2%
P3
41.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |