Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.7%). Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Johnson 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Nielsen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Nielsen
Johnson
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Nielsen
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Nielsen
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Nielsen
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
49.5% (828)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
54.9% (142)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
36.8% (133)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johnson
Home
51.2% (510)
50.7% (564)
Away
45.4% (540)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Nielsen
Johnson
P1
48.6%
51.2%
P2
47.4%
47.5%
P3
48.9%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |