Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.1%). Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Johnson 50.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 62.2%
Defensive zone
McKegg 55.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McKegg
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
McKegg
Johnson
Last 10: McKegg 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McKegg
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (189)
51.8% (548)
-3.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
51.7% (58)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
40.7% (113)
+16.8%
On power play, Johnson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. McKegg is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
McKegg shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
McKegg
Johnson
Home
52.9% (102)
53.6% (371)
Away
46.6% (131)
46.3% (348)
By Period
McKegg
Johnson
P1
48.5%
50.9%
P2
49.4%
50.2%
P3
50.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |