Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.0% vs 44.4%). Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Johnson 45.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 69.2%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 59.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Lundeström
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lundeström
Johnson
Last 8: Lundeström 5-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Lundeström
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
1
Lundeström
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
44.6% (285)
+3.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
46.7% (60)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
16.7% (6)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lundeström is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Lundeström shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Johnson
Home
46.3% (190)
50.8% (179)
Away
41.8% (196)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Lundeström
Johnson
P1
40.2%
41.3%
P2
44.3%
41.8%
P3
47.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
37.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |