Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.4%). Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Johnson 45.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 68.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 63.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 53.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Compher
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Compher
Johnson
Last 5: Compher 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Compher
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Compher
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Compher
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
44.6% (285)
+0.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
46.7% (60)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
16.7% (6)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Compher
Johnson
Home
44.0% (484)
50.8% (179)
Away
45.4% (555)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Compher
Johnson
P1
46.2%
41.3%
P2
44.8%
41.8%
P3
44.2%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |