Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.7% vs Johnson 48.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.6%
Defensive zone
Wright 59.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.2%
Result
James Wright favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Wright
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Johnson
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Wright
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
2
1
Wright
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Wright
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (155)
48.7% (941)
+1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.6% (133)
-49.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (113)
44.8% (201)
-1.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Wright is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Wright shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Wright
Johnson
Home
48.9% (133)
50.5% (588)
Away
44.9% (136)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Wright
Johnson
P1
49.5%
49.4%
P2
41.4%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | James Wright |