Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Johnson 48.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 91.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 83.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Kruger
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kruger
Johnson
Last 7: Kruger 1-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Kruger
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Kruger
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Kruger
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
48.7% (941)
+9.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
49.6% (133)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
44.8% (201)
+7.0%
On power play, Kruger has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kruger is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kruger shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Kruger
Johnson
Home
58.6% (408)
50.5% (588)
Away
54.5% (365)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Kruger
Johnson
P1
54.3%
49.4%
P2
56.9%
47.3%
P3
58.3%
48.1%
OT
61.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
59.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |