Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.4% vs Johnson 48.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 91.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 81.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Hendricks
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hendricks
Johnson
Last 5: Hendricks 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Hendricks
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hendricks
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (329)
48.5% (776)
+11.1%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
56.7% (157)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
26.4% (53)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Hendricks shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Johnson
Home
52.4% (233)
48.8% (482)
Away
58.6% (220)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Hendricks
Johnson
P1
55.1%
50.3%
P2
55.2%
48.5%
P3
55.6%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |