Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 54.8% vs Johnson 51.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 58.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 68.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 51.1%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hendricks
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hendricks
Johnson
Last 5: Hendricks 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (184)
51.2% (825)
+9.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.9% (160)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (47)
51.1% (137)
-10.7%
On power play, Hendricks has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hendricks is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Hendricks shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Johnson
Home
62.3% (114)
56.9% (583)
Away
51.7% (118)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Hendricks
Johnson
P1
51.3%
55.1%
P2
63.0%
53.0%
P3
56.2%
48.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |