Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 77.0%
Neutral zone
Granlund 69.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Granlund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Granlund
Johnson
Last 5: Granlund 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
1
Granlund
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
44.6% (285)
+2.1%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
46.7% (60)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
16.7% (6)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Granlund shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Granlund
Johnson
Home
51.1% (495)
50.8% (179)
Away
42.9% (557)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Granlund
Johnson
P1
49.9%
41.3%
P2
46.4%
41.8%
P3
44.3%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |