Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.2% vs Johnson 48.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Marleau
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Marleau
Johnson
Last 10: Marleau 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
4
3
Marleau
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Marleau
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (234)
48.7% (941)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
49.6% (133)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (64)
44.8% (201)
-5.7%
On power play, Marleau has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Marleau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Marleau shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Marleau
Johnson
Home
52.7% (167)
50.5% (588)
Away
53.2% (141)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Marleau
Johnson
P1
51.5%
49.4%
P2
51.2%
47.3%
P3
55.9%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |