Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 50.0% vs Johnson 51.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 51.2%
Neutral zone
Berglund 50.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Berglund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Berglund
Johnson
Last 5: Berglund 0-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Berglund
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Berglund
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (982)
51.2% (825)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
56.9% (160)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (108)
51.1% (137)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Berglund shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Berglund
Johnson
Home
50.7% (548)
56.9% (583)
Away
49.3% (621)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Berglund
Johnson
P1
49.6%
55.1%
P2
50.5%
53.0%
P3
49.6%
48.8%
OT
60.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |