Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 49.4% vs Johnson 53.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 62.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 61.3%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Hintz
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hintz
Johnson
Last 5: Hintz 0-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hintz
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Hintz
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hintz
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (383)
55.3% (284)
-7.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.0% (26)
+5.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hintz is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Hintz shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Hintz
Johnson
Home
51.6% (248)
57.4% (162)
Away
46.6% (221)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Hintz
Johnson
P1
49.3%
51.5%
P2
53.2%
61.8%
P3
44.9%
47.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |