Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.5% vs Johnson 51.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 65.4%
Defensive zone
Bennett 66.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 65.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Bennett
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Bennett
Johnson
Last 9: Bennett 2-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Bennett
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Bennett
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (737)
51.2% (825)
-4.9%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
56.9% (160)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (49)
51.1% (137)
-4.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bennett is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Bennett shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnson
Home
48.1% (437)
56.9% (583)
Away
43.9% (374)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Bennett
Johnson
P1
47.3%
55.1%
P2
44.2%
53.0%
P3
46.9%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |