Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bozak wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 56.2% vs Johnson 51.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 82.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 65.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 82.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Bozak
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bozak
Johnson
Last 7: Bozak 6-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
0
Bozak
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,119)
51.2% (825)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.4% (226)
56.9% (160)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
51.1% (137)
-1.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Bozak
Johnson
Home
60.1% (682)
56.9% (583)
Away
53.2% (684)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Bozak
Johnson
P1
57.7%
55.1%
P2
53.7%
53.0%
P3
59.0%
48.8%
OT
55.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |