Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ennis wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ennis 40.3% vs Johnson 48.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ennis 73.9%
Defensive zone
Ennis 79.7%
Neutral zone
Ennis 75.3%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Ennis
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Ennis
Johnson
Last 10: Ennis 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
5
Ennis
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Ennis
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Ennis
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ennis
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (553)
48.7% (941)
-10.4%
Power Play
40.9% (66)
49.6% (133)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.8% (201)
+5.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ennis is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Ennis shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Ennis
Johnson
Home
39.5% (306)
50.5% (588)
Away
37.9% (319)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Ennis
Johnson
P1
35.9%
49.4%
P2
43.6%
47.3%
P3
37.4%
48.1%
OT
31.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
38.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
38.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |