Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kennedy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kennedy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 56.7% vs Kennedy 48.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kennedy 91.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.3%
Neutral zone
Kennedy 77.8%
Result
Tyler Kennedy favored at 88.4%
11.6%
88.4%
Gaustad
Kennedy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaustad
Kennedy
Last 5: Gaustad 1-4 Kennedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kennedy
0
4
Gaustad
Kennedy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Kennedy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Kennedy
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (854)
49.1% (57)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
46.7% (30)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (263)
0.0% (1)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kennedy shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Gaustad shoots left. Kennedy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Kennedy
Home
61.3% (633)
50.0% (34)
Away
52.4% (517)
45.5% (55)
By Period
Gaustad
Kennedy
P1
57.9%
46.2%
P2
55.3%
44.0%
P3
58.3%
52.9%
OT
64.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Kennedy
38.0%▼
41.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Kennedy |