Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Motte 50.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.6%
Neutral zone
Motte 59.0%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hartman
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hartman
Motte
Last 6: Hartman 4-2 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Motte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Motte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
Motte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
49.7% (149)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
100.0% (1)
-52.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
60.0% (5)
-14.8%
On power play, Motte has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Motte is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Hartman
Motte
Home
46.5% (361)
49.4% (89)
Away
47.3% (429)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Hartman
Motte
P1
45.1%
51.7%
P2
44.4%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
48.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |