Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Kalinin wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.0% vs Motte 44.0% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Motte 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 52.6%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 50.2%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kalinin
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (453)
43.6% (424)
-1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
41.7% (12)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
37.9% (66)
+2.1%
On power play, Motte has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Kalinin shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Motte
Home
42.8% (285)
45.2% (248)
Away
39.8% (211)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Kalinin
Motte
P1
43.8%
44.6%
P2
40.6%
42.1%
P3
40.1%
41.8%
Final 5 min
37.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%