Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Comeau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 48.9% vs Seguin 55.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 83.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Comeau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Comeau
Seguin
Last 6: Comeau 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
3
1
Comeau
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (341)
55.9% (789)
-7.2%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
52.1% (48)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (158)
44.4% (9)
+0.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Comeau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Comeau shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Comeau
Seguin
Home
52.7% (298)
57.3% (382)
Away
44.4% (268)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Comeau
Seguin
P1
46.1%
55.1%
P2
50.5%
57.5%
P3
49.5%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |