Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Seguin 53.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Sutter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Sutter
Seguin
Last 7: Sutter 7-0 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
0
Sutter
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
53.9% (482)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
35.3% (17)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
75.0% (12)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sutter is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Sutter shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Sutter
Seguin
Home
51.4% (692)
58.9% (231)
Away
49.8% (667)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Sutter
Seguin
P1
50.6%
51.5%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
52.5%
61.7%
OT
45.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |