Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 44-20 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 87.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 65.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Sutter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
20
(64 meetings)
44
20
Sutter
Seguin
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
13
2
Sutter
Seguin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
12
6
Sutter
Seguin
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
19
12
Sutter
Seguin
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
55.9% (810)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
49.3% (762)
-2.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Sutter
Seguin
Home
50.6% (5,050)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Sutter
Seguin
P1
48.7%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |