Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 40-40 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Little
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
40
(80 meetings)
40
40
Little
Seguin
Last 10: Little 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Little
Seguin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
13
16
Little
Seguin
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
20
17
Little
Seguin
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
55.9% (810)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
49.3% (762)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Little
Seguin
Home
52.9% (5,664)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Little
Seguin
P1
50.9%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
54.7%
OT
49.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |