Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 57.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.6%
Neutral zone
Little 54.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Little
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Little
Seguin
Last 10: Little 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
7
Little
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
53.9% (996)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
56.4% (94)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
52.1% (165)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Little
Seguin
Home
53.6% (491)
55.9% (633)
Away
51.5% (511)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Little
Seguin
P1
55.4%
55.8%
P2
50.6%
51.7%
P3
52.1%
54.5%
OT
37.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Bryan Little |