Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Atkinson wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 49.0% vs Seguin 57.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 72.3%
Defensive zone
Atkinson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 74.5%
Result
Cam Atkinson favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Atkinson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Atkinson
Seguin
Last 9: Atkinson 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Atkinson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Atkinson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Atkinson
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (51)
59.6% (736)
-12.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.5% (65)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.6% (124)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Atkinson is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Atkinson shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Seguin
Home
45.5% (33)
60.1% (461)
Away
50.0% (24)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Atkinson
Seguin
P1
32.0%
59.1%
P2
62.5%
58.9%
P3
60.9%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Cam Atkinson |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cam Atkinson |