Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Seguin 55.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 67.0%
Defensive zone
Krejci 67.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 66.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Krejci
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Krejci
Seguin
Last 5: Krejci 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Krejci
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Krejci
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
55.9% (789)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
52.1% (48)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
44.4% (9)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Krejci is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Krejci shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Krejci
Seguin
Home
51.7% (571)
57.3% (382)
Away
48.5% (546)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Krejci
Seguin
P1
52.9%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
57.5%
P3
45.0%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | David Krejci |