Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.7% vs Seguin 50.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 81.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Rasmussen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Rasmussen
Seguin
Last 8: Rasmussen 6-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
3
0
Rasmussen
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
1
Rasmussen
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (310)
51.1% (720)
-5.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.2% (59)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (57)
14.3% (7)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Rasmussen is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rasmussen shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Seguin
Home
43.4% (159)
52.0% (421)
Away
45.5% (211)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Rasmussen
Seguin
P1
47.2%
50.8%
P2
43.0%
51.3%
P3
44.0%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
44.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |