Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Martinook wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 44.9% vs Seguin 50.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Martinook 72.9%
Defensive zone
Martinook 85.7%
Neutral zone
Martinook 72.8%
Result
Jordan Martinook favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Martinook
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Martinook
Seguin
Last 7: Martinook 1-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Martinook
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Martinook
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Martinook
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (818)
51.1% (720)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
54.2% (59)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (185)
14.3% (7)
+28.4%
On penalty kill, Martinook has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Martinook is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Martinook shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Martinook
Seguin
Home
48.1% (561)
52.0% (421)
Away
39.9% (476)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Martinook
Seguin
P1
46.6%
50.8%
P2
46.4%
51.3%
P3
40.6%
51.0%
OT
38.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |