Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Seguin 55.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 75.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 77.8%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 75.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Lehtera
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Lehtera
Seguin
Last 10: Lehtera 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Lehtera
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Lehtera
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
55.9% (789)
-7.0%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
52.1% (48)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
44.4% (9)
-7.7%
On power play, Lehtera has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Lehtera shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Seguin
Home
51.7% (520)
57.3% (382)
Away
48.1% (449)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Lehtera
Seguin
P1
52.8%
55.1%
P2
54.0%
57.5%
P3
43.0%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |