Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Brodziak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.9% vs Seguin 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 74.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 57.2%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Brodziak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Brodziak
Seguin
Last 9: Brodziak 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Brodziak
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
0
Brodziak
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Brodziak
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (808)
55.1% (1,036)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
56.9% (174)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
52.2% (230)
-5.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Brodziak shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Seguin
Home
56.6% (477)
58.9% (703)
Away
47.8% (490)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Brodziak
Seguin
P1
54.1%
54.5%
P2
55.5%
53.7%
P3
47.0%
57.0%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |